McCain Leads in New Iowa Poll
Davenport – In a new Iowa poll conducted directly after the national conventions, John McCain has taken a lead over Barack Obama by a margin of 48% - 42% among likely Iowa voters.
“The trend we are seeing nationally is happening here in Iowa as well. John McCain is surging and has taken a lead larger than the margin of error,” said Steve Grubbs, CEO of Victory Enterprises, Inc. “Our survey methodology, developed over 16 years has lead to extremely accurate results.”
The survey also had some good news for Democrats. Governor Chet Culver's job approval rating currently sits at a strong 59%, while 29% of respondents indicated they do not approve of the job Chet Culver is doing as governor.
Victory Enterprises surveys only registered voters who have participated in a recent general election. This eliminates the chance of surveys being conducted with people who are not registered to vote.
“Surveys that use the 'random digit dial' method have a significant risk of talking to people who are not registered to vote,” said Grubbs. “We also balanced this survey so it reflects the percentages of Republicans, Democrats and No Party voters who participated in the 2004 election. By doing this, we ensure that no political party is under represented in our survey results.”
The Victory Enterprises’ Statewide Iowa Poll was conducted September 8-9 of 402 Iowa voters with a 4.9% margin of error. Democrats, Republicans and No Party voters each represented 1/3 of the respondents, similar to the 2004 voter participation results. In addition, the survey was balanced so that each Congressional District has roughly 1/5th of the respondents. Females represented 53% of the respondents, while males represented 47%.
The presidential ballot test was asked: And if the election for President were held today and you had to make a choice, would you vote for John McCain the Republican or Barack Obama the Democrat?
Victory Enterprises is one of Iowa's most prolific political polling firms, having conducted over 300 political surveys in the last ten years.